Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
