SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
36.45% ( -1.77) | 27.48% ( 0.68) | 36.07% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( -2.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( -2.67) | 56.25% ( 2.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( -2.2) | 77.29% ( 2.2) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -2.33) | 29.59% ( 2.32) |
