SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Buxton |
40.39% ( -1.3) | 26.97% ( 0.39) | 32.63% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( -1.3) | 54.7% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% ( -1.09) | 76.02% ( 1.09) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -1.29) | 26.58% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( -1.73) | 61.79% ( 1.73) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( -0.05) | 31.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( -0.05) | 67.62% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.63% |
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