SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Brackley Town |
28.88% ( -0.3) | 28.38% ( 0.04) | 42.74% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.06% ( -0.25) | 60.94% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.05% ( -0.18) | 80.95% ( 0.19) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( -0.37) | 37.33% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.88% ( -0.37) | 74.12% ( 0.38) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.03) | 28.24% ( -0.02) |
