SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.21%).
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
58.26% ( 0.83) | 23.17% ( -0.11) | 18.57% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( -0.56) | 50.34% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( -0.5) | 72.28% ( 0.49) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( 0.09) | 17% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.88% ( 0.16) | 47.12% ( -0.17) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.85% ( -1.15) | 41.14% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.31% ( -1.03) | 77.68% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 58.26% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fylde | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 80 | 44 | 36 | 95 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 84 | 43 | 41 | 93 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 84 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 69 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 69 |
| 6 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 69 |
| 7 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 75 | 68 | 7 | 68 |
| 8 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 74 | 69 | 5 | 68 |
| 9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 68 | 67 | 1 | 68 |
| 10 | Darlington | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 67 |
| 11 | Buxton | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 67 |
| 12 | Chorley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 66 |
| 13 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 65 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 57 |
| 15 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 68 | 66 | 2 | 56 |
| 16 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 55 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 54 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 50 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 50 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 50 |
| R | Kettering TownKettering | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 63 | -22 | 49 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 48 |
| R | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 46 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 32 |
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