Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
