Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.