SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Alfreton Town |
37.6% ( -4.27) | 26.38% ( -0.63) | 36.02% ( 4.89) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( 3.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( 3.43) | 51.8% ( -3.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 2.9) | 73.56% ( -2.91) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.74) | 26.77% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.94% ( -0.98) | 62.05% ( 0.98) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 4.9) | 27.69% ( -4.9) |
