Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
13.78) 
-17.15) 
