SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fylde in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Fylde |
28.33% ( -0.01) | 27.46% ( 0) | 44.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.19% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% ( -0.01) | 57.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% ( -0) | 78.68% ( 0.01) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.01) | 36.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.06% ( -0.01) | 72.94% ( 0.01) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0) | 26.09% |
