Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Montreal Impact win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
