SM
The new MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | -12 | 27 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | -1 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
56.32% ( 1.15) | 21.97% ( -0.2) | 21.71% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.01% ( -0.25) | 40.99% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.25) | 63.38% ( 0.25) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( 0.29) | 14.41% ( -0.29) |
