SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Atlanta United |
56.54% ( 0.34) | 21.53% ( -0.08) | 21.92% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.63% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.36% ( 0.03) | 38.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.06% ( 0.04) | 60.94% ( -0.03) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( 0.12) | 13.55% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% ( 0.23) | 40.64% ( -0.23) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.21) | 31.02% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( -0.25) | 67.32% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.55% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.92% |
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