SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
45.93% ( 0.03) | 22.29% ( -0.01) | 31.78% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.37% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0) | 33.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.32% ( 0.01) | 55.68% ( -0.01) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( 0.01) | 15.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.9% ( 0.02) | 44.1% ( -0.03) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( -0.02) | 21.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% ( -0.02) | 54.7% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 2% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.18% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 31.78% |
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