SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
36.08% ( 0.03) | 25.52% ( -0.04) | 38.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( 0.19) | 48.09% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( 0.18) | 70.25% ( -0.17) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( 0.11) | 25.9% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% ( 0.14) | 60.89% ( -0.14) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( 0.1) | 24.63% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( 0.14) | 59.13% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 36.08% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.39% |
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