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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Atlanta United |
42.92% ( -0) | 25% ( 0.01) | 32.08% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( -0.05) | 46.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( -0.05) | 68.87% ( 0.05) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( -0.02) | 21.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.13% ( -0.04) | 54.88% ( 0.04) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( -0.03) | 27.61% ( 0.03) |
