SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.73% ( -0.04) | 25.65% ( 0) | 23.62% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% ( 0.02) | 54.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( 0.01) | 75.74% ( -0.01) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( -0.01) | 21.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( -0.02) | 54.49% ( 0.02) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.78% ( 0.04) | 38.21% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.02% ( 0.04) | 74.98% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.73% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.62% |
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