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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
47.23% ( -0.04) | 24.52% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( 0.09) | 46.36% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( 0.09) | 68.64% ( -0.08) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.02) | 19.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.28% ( 0.04) | 51.72% ( -0.03) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.09) | 30.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( 0.11) | 66.24% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.23% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.25% |
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