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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 38.33% | 26.12% | 35.55% |
| Both teams to score 53.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
