SM
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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
43.41% ( -0.05) | 26.57% ( 0.02) | 30.02% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.06% ( -0.07) | 53.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% ( -0.06) | 75.39% ( 0.05) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.05) | 24.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.81% ( -0.08) | 59.19% ( 0.07) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -0.01) | 32.72% ( 0.01) |
