Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
