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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 54.09% | 22.18% | 23.73% |
| Both teams to score 59.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
