Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
