Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
