SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
43.43% ( -0.14) | 24.81% ( -0.01) | 31.75% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( 0.09) | 45.89% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( 0.09) | 68.2% ( -0.09) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( -0.03) | 21.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.95% ( -0.04) | 54.05% ( 0.04) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 0.14) | 27.46% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.05% ( 0.18) | 62.95% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.75% |
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