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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 96.39%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 0.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 4-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (10.12%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.18%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (0.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | San Diego |
96.39% ( 0.02) | 2.69% ( -0.01) | 0.92% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.89% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 90.66% ( 0.05) | 9.33% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 78.92% ( 0.09) | 21.07% ( -0.09) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 99.23% ( 0.01) | 0.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 95.5% ( 0.03) | 4.49% ( -0.03) |
| San Diego Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.21% ( 0.04) | 57.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.52% ( 0.02) | 89.48% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | San Diego |
| 4-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0)5-1 @ 5.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)8-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)8-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)9-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)6-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)9-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)10-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.69% Total : 96.37% | 1-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 2.69% | Other @ 0.92% Total : 0.92% |
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