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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
56.94% ( -0.29) | 23.06% ( 0.03) | 20.01% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( 0.23) | 47.97% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( 0.21) | 70.15% ( -0.2) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.02) | 16.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( -0.04) | 46.45% ( 0.04) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% ( 0.41) | 38.19% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% ( 0.4) | 74.95% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 56.94% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.01% |
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