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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
| 59.84% | 22.73% | 17.43% |
| Both teams to score 48.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
