SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
52.11% ( -0.13) | 23.02% ( 0.01) | 24.87% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( 0.09) | 42.29% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( 0.09) | 64.7% ( -0.1) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -0.01) | 16.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.16% ( -0.02) | 45.84% ( 0.02) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( 0.15) | 30.55% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( 0.18) | 66.77% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.11% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.87% |
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