Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
