SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Niort had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Niort | Draw | Laval |
31.14% ( -0.76) | 27.96% ( -0.32) | 40.9% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.25% ( 0.94) | 58.75% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.72% ( 0.73) | 79.27% ( -0.72) |
| Niort Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( -0.05) | 34.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.87% ( -0.05) | 71.13% ( 0.06) |
| Laval Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( 1.06) | 28.21% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.09% ( 1.32) | 63.9% ( -1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niort | Draw | Laval |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.14% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 65 |
| 3 | Metz | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 62 |
| 4 | Bastia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 53 |
| 5 | Sochaux | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 52 |
| 6 | Caen | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 50 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 48 |
| 9 | Paris FCParis FC | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 46 |
| 11 | GuingampGuingamp | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | PauPau | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 40 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 | Annecy | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 |
| 17 | Laval | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 37 |
| 18 | Dijon | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 35 |
| 19 | Nimes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 27 |
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