Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metz win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 35.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result
Metz	Draw	Lorient
37.58% ( -1.15)	27.12% ( 0.33)	35.3% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 50.5% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

-1.26)

54.87% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

-1.05)

76.16% (

1.05)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-1.25)

28.24% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-1.61)

63.95% (

1.62)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

-0.11)

29.62% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.34% (

-0.13)

65.66% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Metz 37.58%

Lorient 35.29%

Draw 27.11%

Metz	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.58%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.29%