SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Metz | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Laval | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Amiens | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bastia | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Metz | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Laval | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Laval | Draw | Metz |
49.15% ( 2.32) | 26.23% ( -0.03) | 24.62% ( -2.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( -1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( -1.42) | 55.73% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( -1.17) | 76.87% ( 1.17) |
| Laval Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.45) | 22.72% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.6% ( 0.66) | 56.39% ( -0.66) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( -2.74) | 38.06% ( 2.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.17% ( -2.75) | 74.83% ( 2.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Laval | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.75)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.6% Total : 24.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Metz | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Sochaux | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 49 |
| 5 | Bastia | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 48 |
| 6 | Caen | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Quevilly | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | AmiensAmiens | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 36 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 33 |
| 15 | Annecy | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 33 |
| 16 | PauPau | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Laval | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
| 18 | Nimes | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Dijon | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 26 |
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