SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Nantes |
45.86% ( 0.03) | 26.16% ( -0) | 27.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% ( -0.01) | 53.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( -0.01) | 74.84% ( 0.01) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( 0.01) | 23.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.91% ( 0.02) | 57.08% ( -0.02) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( -0.03) | 33.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.41% ( -0.03) | 70.59% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
| 3 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
| 8 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Clermont | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 | Nice | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 45 |
| 11 | Lorient | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 | Troyes | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 41 | 69 | -28 | 22 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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