Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.