MX23RW : Sunday, May 14 19:31:37
SM
Sunday, May 14
M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
LL
Montpellier
1 - 1
Lorient
Mavididi (28')
Ferri (61'), Mendes (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grbic (9' pen.)
Lemoine (36'), Chalobah (63'), Gravillon (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
47.23%25.19%27.58%
Both teams to score 53.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36%49.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34%71.66%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96%21.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16%53.84%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69%32.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19%68.81%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 47.22%
    Lorient 27.58%
    Draw 25.19%
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.68%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.58%

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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG35263684354981
2Lens35229459273275
3Marseille34217662342870
4MonacoMonaco35198868511765
5Lille35179960411960
6Rennes351851260382259
7Lyon351681158431556
8Clermont35158123945-653
9Lorient351410114947252
10Nice351312104234851
11Reims35121494237550
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier35135175758-144
13Toulouse35127164855-743
14StrasbourgStrasbourg35911154855-738
15Brest35911153950-1138
16Auxerre35810173257-2534
17NantesNantes35615143550-1533
RAjaccio3565242266-4423
RTroyes35410214277-3522
RAngers3435262874-4614
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