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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
CF
Montpellier
1 - 0
Clermont
Wahi (28')
Mavididi (38'), Sambia (50'), Chotard (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Abdul Samed (51'), Abdul Samed (90+3'), Gastien (90+3')

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Clermont

Clermont always have a source of goals when Bayo is on the pitch, but the rest of their attack is depleted, and they hardly have the wind in their sails ahead of this fixture. A Dall'Oglio side will relish the opportunity for a goal-laden performance against one of the league's leakiest defences, so we can only back Montpellier to prevail comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montpellier HSC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Montpellier HSC.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawClermont
42.26%25.31%32.43%
Both teams to score 55.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15%47.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97%70.03%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86%56.15%
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01%27.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37%63.64%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 42.26%
    Clermont 32.43%
    Draw 25.31%
Montpellier HSCDrawClermont
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.26%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.43%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1393134112330
2Nice138501441029
3MonacoMonaco137332719824
4Lille136521711623
5Reims136251818020
6Lens135441613319
7Brest125341414018
8Le HavreLe Havre133731213-116
9Metz134451520-516
10Rennes133641917215
11NantesNantes134361723-615
12Marseille123541314-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg123451016-613
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier123451617-112
15Toulouse132651317-412
16Lorient132561724-711
17Clermont12237817-99
18Lyon12147921-127
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