Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nice had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
