Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 8.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.53%) and 0-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
