Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
