MX23RW : Sunday, January 22 22:02:48
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Dec 23, 2020 at 6pm UK at Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens
2 - 1
Brest
Kalimuendo (11'), Sotoca (34' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Charbonnier (90+4' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (13'), Duverne (32')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawBrest
47.81%25.9%26.29%
Both teams to score 50.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7%53.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15%74.85%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7%22.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24%55.76%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71%35.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Score Analysis
    Lens 47.81%
    Brest 26.29%
    Draw 25.9%
LensDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.81%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.87%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 26.29%

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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19152248143447
2Lens19135132131944
3Marseille19133339162342
4MonacoMonaco19114442261637
5Rennes19114436201637
6Lille19104535251034
7Lorient199553129232
8Clermont198472427-328
9Lyon197482823525
10Nice196762220225
11Reims1951042123-225
12Toulouse196582934-523
13NantesNantes194962124-321
14Troyes194693040-1018
15Montpellier HSCMontpellier1952122840-1217
16StrasbourgStrasbourg192982434-1015
17Brest1936101934-1515
18Ajaccio1943121634-1815
19Auxerre1934121641-2513
20Angers1922151741-248
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