Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
