SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
42.48% ( 0.03) | 25.64% ( 0.05) | 31.87% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( -0.23) | 49.45% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( -0.2) | 71.49% ( 0.2) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -0.08) | 23.14% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( -0.12) | 57.01% ( 0.12) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( -0.16) | 29.14% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% ( -0.2) | 65.08% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.87% |
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