SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lorient in this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lorient |
36.53% ( 0.15) | 27.79% ( -0.1) | 35.68% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.53% ( 0.4) | 57.47% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.73% ( 0.32) | 78.27% ( -0.31) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( 0.29) | 30.15% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.71% ( 0.35) | 66.3% ( -0.34) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( 0.17) | 30.68% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.08% ( 0.2) | 66.93% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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