Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
