Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Feb 16, 2025 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Vega (34'), Camberos Figueroa (90+1' og.)
Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Camberos Figueroa (70')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
44.14% ( 0) | 25.99% ( -0.01) | 29.87% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.04) |
| 48.31% ( 0.05) | 51.68% ( -0.05) |
| 26.54% ( 0.04) | 73.46% ( -0.05) |
| 76.68% ( 0.02) | 23.31% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.74% ( 0.04) | 57.26% ( -0.04) |
| 68.34% ( 0.03) | 31.66% ( -0.03) |
