Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
