SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Club Tijuana |
62.83% ( 1.53) | 20.63% ( -0.72) | 16.54% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 52.93% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.13% ( 1.74) | 42.87% ( -1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.73% ( 1.71) | 65.27% ( -1.71) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.96% ( 1.01) | 13.04% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.4% ( 2.02) | 39.6% ( -2.03) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( 0.05) | 39.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% ( 0.05) | 75.84% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pumas | Draw | Club Tijuana |
| 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.41)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.21% Total : 62.82% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.63% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.54% |
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