Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
