Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Tigres
33.16% ( 0.12)	26.59% ( 0.03)	40.25% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.95% (

-0.12)

53.05% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.36% (

-0.1)

74.64% (

0.1)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

0.02)

30.09% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

0.02)

66.23% (

-0.03)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11% (

-0.14)

25.89% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

-0.18)

60.88% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 33.16%

Tigres 40.25%

Draw 26.59%

Necaxa	Draw	Tigres
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.16%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.25%